SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$89.81
1.30 (1.47%)
▲
5d:
+0.85%
30d:
+4.38%
90d:
+2.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SWX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SWX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.70
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.33
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $89.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.80 to $89.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.3) is in line with its historical norms (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.25 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.25 (+10.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$86.80 -
$89.52
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.80 -
$89.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.47
Resistance Level
$89.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.34
Wall Street Target
$99.25
(+10.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 18.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.00
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$88.20
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$87.41
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$89.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.3%)
$167.90
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 16.3%)
$141.38
(+57%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.6, Growth: 16.3%)
$120.17
(+34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$144.48
(+61%)
Analyst growth 48.4%, PE expands to 29.5
Base Case
$131.34
(+46%)
Market implied 48.4%, PE stable at 26.8
Bear Case
$60.19
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.3 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$92.06
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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