SXI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SXI - Standex International Corporation

REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY
$248.94
-1.70 (-0.68%) ▼
5d: -2.07%
30d: -4.98%
90d: +8.5%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SXI shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$450.72
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$279.86
11.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SXI is currently trading at $248.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $251.32 to $261.19. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (24.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 661.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SXI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $247.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $276.80 (+10.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $251.32 - $261.19
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.8%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($276.80)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $251.32 - $261.19
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$10.26 (4.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $247.09
Resistance Level $265.68
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.44
Wall Street Target $276.80 (+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 661.3%
Profit Margin 6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.4 vs 24.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $246.38 (-2%)
2-Year Target $242.19 (-3%)
3-Year Target $238.07 (-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→25) $250.92 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.4, Growth: 18.8%) $420.60 (+68%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.8%) $402.02 (+60%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 18.8%) $341.71 (+36%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.06 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.14
Bull Case $306.93 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.3
Base Case $254.19 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.1
Bear Case $194.46 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.4 to 24.7
Stabilization Target: $264.17 (+5.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +5.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:04 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:04 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Thomas E Chorman SELL 50 shares 2026-03-02
Thomas E Chorman SELL 513 shares 2026-02-27
Vineet Kshirsagar SELL 400 shares 2026-02-18

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