SXI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SXI - Standex International Corporation

REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY
$244.62
4.62 (1.93%) ▲
5d: -1.02%
30d: +12.58%
90d: +2.48%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SXI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.2% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$447.28
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$277.73
11.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SXI is currently trading at $244.62, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $230.10 to $247.88. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (24.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 661.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SXI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $228.60, while resistance sits at $263.00.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $230.10 - $247.88
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 14th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($261.40)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $230.10 - $247.88
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$9.87 (4.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $228.60
Resistance Level $263.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.20
Wall Street Target $261.40 (+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 26.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 661.3%
Profit Margin 6.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.2 vs 24.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $234.72 (-2%)
2-Year Target $229.56 (-4%)
3-Year Target $224.51 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→25) $239.97 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.2, Growth: 19.8%) $412.20 (+72%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 19.8%) $396.18 (+65%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 19.8%) $336.75 (+40%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 28.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.42
Bull Case $289.80 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 29.9
Base Case $240.00 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case $183.60 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.2 to 24.8
Stabilization Target: $256.53 (+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.9%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 10:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:28 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David A Dunbar SELL 18000 shares 2025-10-15
David A Dunbar SELL 11000 shares 2025-09-18
Thomas J Hansen SELL 2992 shares 2025-08-18

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