SYF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SYF - SYNCHRONY FINANCIAL

FINANCE SERVICES
$72.63
-0.74 (-1.01%) ā–¼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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šŸ’”
Bottom Line:
šŸ“Š HOLD: SYF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$130.98
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$81.33
10.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SYF is currently trading at $72.63, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.95 to $86.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 7.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SYF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $71.86. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: SYF has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $91.13 (+24.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $75.95 - $86.22
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.2% below Wall St target ($91.13)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $75.95 - $86.22
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $71.86
Resistance Level $81.84
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.05
Wall Street Target $91.13 (+24.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 7.6%
Profit Margin 36.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.1 vs 8.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -6.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $68.67 (-6%)
2-Year Target $64.28 (-12%)
3-Year Target $60.17 (-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→9) $73.39 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.9%) $325.32 (+343%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.1, Growth: 11.9%) $102.85 (+40%)
Bear: (PE: 6.0, Growth: 11.9%) $87.42 (+19%)
šŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.28
Bull Case $90.57 (+25%)
Analyst growth 12.1%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case $82.34 (+13%)
Market implied 12.1%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case $49.93 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
šŸ’” Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.1 to 8.6
Stabilization Target: $89.50 (+22.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +22.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:04 AM
šŸ”„ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian J Sr. Wenzel SELL 8514 shares 2025-08-05

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Advanced SYF Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SYF price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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