Is TAC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, TAC is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: TAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of TAC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TAC to be between $12.41 and $13.29. The current price is $13.34.

What is the analyst price target for TAC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TAC is $13.31. This implies a potential upside of 0.1% from current levels.

TAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TAC - TransAlta Corporation

Electric Services

$13.34

0.05 (0.38%) ▲

5d: +3.09%

30d: +0.68%

90d: +5.54%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your TAC Gains

Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 06, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

TAC is down 3.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $16 2026-06-18 with 1,164 OI. Call ratio: 89% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$24.42

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$15.17

12.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TAC is currently trading at $13.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.41 to $13.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 26.5) compared to its historical average (39.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TAC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $13.46. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TAC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $12.41 - $13.29

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.31)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $12.41 - $13.29

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.38

Resistance Level $13.47

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 26.49

Wall Street Target $13.31 (+0.1%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -11.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.6%

Profit Margin -5.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -12.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 26.5 vs 39.8 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -12.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.96 (-10%)

2-Year Target $10.76 (-19%)

3-Year Target $9.69 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 26→40) $14.56 (+10%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 26.5, Growth: 116.5%) $44.85 (+238%)

Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 116.5%) $37.84 (+185%)

Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 116.5%) $32.17 (+142%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.5 to 39.8

Stabilization Target: $19.97 (+50.2%)

PE Expansion Potential: +50.2%

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Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 PM

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