TLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLN - Talen Energy Corporation Common Stock
$334.24
-18.64 (-5.28%)
▼
5d:
-13.49%
30d:
-7.77%
90d:
-11.27%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
TLN is down 13.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $380 2026-06-18 with 1,166 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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2 traders called TLN this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TLN is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: TLN is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$984.11
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$611.05
45.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLN is currently trading at $334.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $332.46 to $380.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.7) compared to its historical average (14.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $331.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $475.10 (+42.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $331.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $475.10 (+42.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$332.46 -
$380.94
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TLN? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($475.10)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$332.46 -
$380.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$331.37
Resistance Level
$416.68
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.66
Wall Street Target
$475.10
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
96.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.7 vs 14.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$300.82
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$270.73
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$243.66
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→15)
$368.40
(+10%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 50.4%)
$2578.21
(+671%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.7, Growth: 50.4%)
$1128.06
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 50.4%)
$958.85
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.7 to 14.6
Stabilization Target:
$505.35
(+51.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+51.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced TLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TLN price and gamma walls.