TDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$7.39
0.13 (1.79%) ▲
5d: +0.68%
30d: +8.84%
90d: +23.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.30
20.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TDAY is currently trading at $7.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.77 to $7.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.0) compared to its historical average (41.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TDAY is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.21 (+11.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $6.77 - $7.32
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.21)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.77 - $7.32
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.11
Resistance Level $7.50
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.01
Wall Street Target $8.21 (+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -5.8%
Profit Margin 0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -16.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 24.0 vs 41.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -16.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.65 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.99 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.39 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→41) $9.29 (+26%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 24.0, Growth: 155.4%) $24.94 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 155.4%) $21.41 (+190%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 155.4%) $18.20 (+146%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 15.11 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.49
Bull Case $8.92 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.9
Base Case $7.39 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.1
Bear Case $5.65 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 41.4
Stabilization Target: $12.74 (+72.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +72.4%
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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