TEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.

Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight
$27.17
0.16 (0.59%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.33
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.15
3.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $27.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.72 to $26.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 5.6) compared to its historical average (4.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $27.79. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TEN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (14th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $34.50 (+27.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $22.72 - $26.35
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Options IV Signal 14th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 68.5%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 14th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 27.7% below Wall St target ($34.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.1% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $22.72 - $26.35
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.69 (6.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.00
Resistance Level $27.79
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 5.57
Wall Street Target $34.50 (+27.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 56.5%
Profit Margin 16.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.1% premium
PE vs Historical 5.6 vs 4.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.39 (+5%)
2-Year Target $29.84 (+11%)
3-Year Target $31.36 (+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6→5) PE COMPRESSION $27.03 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 62.2%) $365.02 (+1251%)
Base: (SPY PE: 5.6, Growth: 62.2%) $91.16 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 4.7, Growth: 62.2%) $77.48 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case $45.82 (+69%)
Analyst growth 53.5%, PE expands to 9.5
Base Case $41.65 (+53%)
Market implied 53.5%, PE stable at 8.6
Bear Case $18.46 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 5:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TEN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEN price and gamma walls.

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