TEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TEN - Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd.
$40.19
1.12 (2.87%)
▲
5d:
+5.29%
30d:
+11.73%
90d:
+79.26%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 22.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 22.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.00
Based on -28.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.86
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TEN is currently trading at $40.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.22 to $38.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 22.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TEN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.00 (+14.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$34.22 -
$38.43
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($46.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 22.3% growth expectation is conservative given 316% recent growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$34.22 -
$38.43
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.44
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.40
Resistance Level
$40.75
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.65
Wall Street Target
$46.00
(+14.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
316.5%
Profit Margin
20.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+22.3% premium
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 7.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+22.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.15
(+22%)
2-Year Target
$60.11
(+50%)
3-Year Target
$73.52
(+83%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$40.40
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: -61.7%)
$44.16
(+10%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: -61.7%)
$29.30
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: -61.7%)
$16.10
(-60%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 11.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$36.58
(-4%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$33.25
(-13%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 11.3
Bear Case
$24.26
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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