Is TENB stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, TENB is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: TENB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of TENB stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for TENB to be between $18.24 and $21.32. The current price is $20.45.

What is the analyst price target for TENB?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for TENB is $27.05. This implies a potential upside of 32.3% from current levels.

TENB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TENB - Tenable Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$20.45

-0.13 (-0.63%) ▼

5d: -5.06%

30d: +8.03%

90d: -7.55%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Protect Your TENB Gains

Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

TENB is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $25 2026-06-18 with 126 OI. Call ratio: 77% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TENB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$34.24

Based on 7.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$21.26

3.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TENB is currently trading at $20.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.24 to $21.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TENB is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $20.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $27.05 (+32.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $18.24 - $21.32

Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 72.4%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 32.3% below Wall St target ($27.05)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.1% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.24 - $21.32

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.06

Resistance Level $22.17

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.44

Wall Street Target $27.05 (+32.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.6%

Profit Margin -1.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -5.3% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.4 vs 11.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -5.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $19.37 (-5%)

2-Year Target $18.34 (-10%)

3-Year Target $17.37 (-15%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→11) $20.42 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 10.7%) $64.72 (+217%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 10.7%) $27.72 (+36%)

Bear: (PE: 8.0, Growth: 10.7%) $23.56 (+15%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.1

Stabilization Target: $24.04 (+17.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +17.6%

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:16 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Arthur W Coviello Jr BUY 12000 shares 2026-02-09

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-02-06

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-01-30

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Advanced TENB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TENB price and gamma walls.

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