TEVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TEVA - Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited American Depositary Shares

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$34.08
1.01 (3.05%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TEVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$52.99
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$32.90
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TEVA is currently trading at $34.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.29 to $32.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.6) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TEVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $33.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $31.29 - $32.75
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.0%

Protect Your Profits

TEVA is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($35.32)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $31.29 - $32.75
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $30.70
Resistance Level $33.64
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.64
Wall Street Target $35.32 (+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.0%
Profit Margin 8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.6 vs 11.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $32.11 (-3%)
2-Year Target $31.18 (-6%)
3-Year Target $30.28 (-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $33.00 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.1%) $97.74 (+196%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.6, Growth: 12.1%) $46.65 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 9.0, Growth: 12.1%) $39.65 (+20%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21
Bull Case $73.06 (+114%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.2
Base Case $66.42 (+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.5
Bear Case $22.58 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.6 to 11.6
Stabilization Target: $36.04 (+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +9.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:45 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TEVA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TEVA price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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