TFX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TFX - Teleflex Incorporated

SURGICAL & MEDICAL INSTRUMENTS & APPARATUS
$115.19
-1.03 (-0.89%) ▼
5d: +8.82%
30d: -5.63%
90d: -6.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

TFX is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-04-17 with 3 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TFX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$160.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$99.93
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TFX is currently trading at $115.19, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $107.61 to $117.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (8.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TFX is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $117.12. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TFX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.50 (+12.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $107.61 - $117.70
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($130.50)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.9% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $107.61 - $117.70
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$6.52 (5.7%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $103.08
Resistance Level $117.12
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 27, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.53
Wall Street Target $130.50 (+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 64.1%
Profit Margin -45.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.9% premium
PE vs Historical 11.5 vs 8.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $130.05 (+12%)
2-Year Target $145.53 (+25%)
3-Year Target $162.84 (+40%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 12→8) PE COMPRESSION $115.80 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 50.4%) $761.96 (+556%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 50.4%) $392.24 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 8.2, Growth: 50.4%) $278.93 (+140%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 16.47 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.43
Bull Case $127.81 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case $105.85 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 16.5
Bear Case $80.98 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 14.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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