TGNA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGNA - TEGNA Inc.
$19.16
0.28 (1.48%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
25d
Get Alerted When TGNA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGNA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.36
18.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGNA is currently trading at $19.16, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.88 to $19.32. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.2) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGNA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGNA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $18.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$18.88 -
$19.32
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($21.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.88 -
$19.32
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.77
Resistance Level
$19.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.25
Wall Street Target
$21.67
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-74.2%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 6.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.77
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$18.65
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$18.54
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→6)
$18.98
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 94.0%)
$227.23
(+1104%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 94.0%)
$63.72
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 94.0%)
$54.16
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$29.95
(+56%)
Analyst growth 44.5%, PE expands to 9.9
Base Case
$27.23
(+42%)
Market implied 44.5%, PE stable at 9.0
Bear Case
$12.82
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 6.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.32
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 6:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:00 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TGNA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Broadcasting Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Broadcasting by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NXST
Nexstar Broadcasting Gro… |
STRONG BUY
10 analysts |
$231 | 50 HOLD |
|
GTN
Gray Television Inc |
BUY
6 analysts |
$6 | 57 HOLD |
|
FUBO
Fubotv Inc |
HOLD
8 analysts |
$5 | 56 HOLD |
|
SSP
E. W. Scripps Co Class A |
HOLD
5 analysts |
$6 | 51 HOLD |
|
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast Group… |
SELL
7 analysts |
$17 | 39 SELL |
Advanced TGNA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TGNA price and gamma walls.
