TGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TGS - Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. ADS
$31.89
-1.08 (-3.28%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TGS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.50
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.95
13.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TGS is currently trading at $31.89, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.35 to $31.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.4) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.16, while resistance sits at $34.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.20 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.16, while resistance sits at $34.10. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: TGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.20 (+13.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$29.35 -
$31.94
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($36.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.35 -
$31.94
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.96
(9.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.16
Resistance Level
$34.10
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.36
Wall Street Target
$36.20
(+13.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
66.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
114.7%
Profit Margin
26.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.4 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.37
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$32.85
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$33.35
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.9%)
$122.13
(+283%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.4, Growth: 31.9%)
$73.16
(+129%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.4, Growth: 31.9%)
$62.19
(+95%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.66
Bull Case
$47.52
(+49%)
Analyst growth 43.8%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$43.20
(+36%)
Market implied 43.8%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$20.43
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:28 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TGS price and gamma walls.
