THR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THR - THERMON GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.
$48.99
-2.17 (-4.24%)
▼
5d:
+0.02%
30d:
-3.53%
90d:
+29.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: THR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: THR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.37
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.24
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THR is currently trading at $48.99, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.63 to $51.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.6) compared to its historical average (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.2% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.59, while resistance sits at $52.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: THR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $46.59, while resistance sits at $52.98. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: THR has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$46.63 -
$51.22
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($51.00)
- BEARISH: Market expects 4.2% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$46.63 -
$51.22
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.24
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.60
Resistance Level
$52.98
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.64
Wall Street Target
$51.00
(-0.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Profit Margin
11.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.6 vs 20.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.31
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$55.55
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$57.88
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.14
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$61.80
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$61.16
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 6.5%)
$51.98
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$65.91
(+35%)
Analyst growth 27.7%, PE expands to 29.2
Base Case
$59.92
(+22%)
Market implied 27.7%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$31.91
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 4:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-02
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