THS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THS - Treehouse Foods, Inc.
$24.64
-0.01 (-0.04%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: THS shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.68
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THS is currently trading at $24.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.59 to $24.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: THS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $21.92. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THS is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: THS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $21.92. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$23.59 -
$24.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
Protect Your Profits
THS is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.1% above Wall St target ($21.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.59 -
$24.48
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.80
(3.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.96
Resistance Level
$24.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.50
Wall Street Target
$21.92
(-11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
734.1%
Profit Margin
-7.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.76
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$24.89
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$25.01
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.61
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.9%)
$70.15
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 16.9%)
$39.32
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 16.9%)
$33.43
(+36%)
Last updated: February 01, 2026 12:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced THS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's THS price and gamma walls.
