TLN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TLN - Talen Energy Corporation Common Stock
$327.58
-0.50 (-0.15%)
▼
5d:
+1.38%
30d:
-2.67%
90d:
-12.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
TLN is up 7.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $320 2026-05-15 with 1,566 OI. Put ratio: 83% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.8/10
Get Alerted When TLN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TLN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.2% annual earnings decline despite 34% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TLN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.2% annual earnings decline despite 34% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$942.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$585.32
44.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TLN is currently trading at $327.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $311.65 to $357.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.8) compared to its historical average (15.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 34.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $337.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TLN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $467.84 (+42.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TLN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $337.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TLN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $467.84 (+42.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$311.65 -
$357.99
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($467.84)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$311.65 -
$357.99
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$24.76
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$301.45
Resistance Level
$337.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.78
Wall Street Target
$467.84
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
58.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Profit Margin
-8.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 15.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$295.27
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$265.74
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$239.17
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→16)
$352.89
(+8%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 55.1%)
$2296.50
(+600%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 55.1%)
$1107.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 55.1%)
$941.18
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 15.9
Stabilization Target:
$484.08
(+47.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+47.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TLN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Independent Power Producers Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Independent Power Producers by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
VST
Vistra Energy Corp |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$234 | 50 HOLD |
|
CEG
Constellation Energy Corp |
STRONG BUY
16 analysts |
$394 | 50 HOLD |
|
TAC
TransAlta Corp |
BUY
11 analysts |
$13 | 57 HOLD |
|
NRG
NRG Energy Inc. |
BUY
10 analysts |
$202 | 56 HOLD |
|
PAM
Pampa Energia SA ADR |
BUY
8 analysts |
$109 | 64 BUY |
Advanced TLN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TLN price and gamma walls.