TLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TLX - Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited American Depositary Shares

Pharmaceutical Preparations
$10.44
0.04 (0.38%) ▲
5d: +2.05%
30d: +13.48%
90d: +24.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026 21d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 9.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.66
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TLX is currently trading at $10.44, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.18 to $10.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.3) compared to its historical average (23.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TLX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.06, while resistance sits at $11.25.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+107.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $9.18 - $10.64
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 64.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 107.6% below Wall St target ($21.67)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.3% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.18 - $10.64
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.06
Resistance Level $11.25
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 30.30
Wall Street Target $21.67 (+107.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.3%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.3% premium
PE vs Historical 30.3 vs 23.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $11.41 (+9%)
2-Year Target $12.47 (+20%)
3-Year Target $13.63 (+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 30→23) PE COMPRESSION $10.44 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 30.3, Growth: 224.7%) $35.23 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.6, Growth: 224.7%) $23.96 (+130%)
Bear: (PE: 17.5, Growth: 224.7%) $20.37 (+95%)
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Last updated: April 29, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:43 AM
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