TLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TLX - Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited American Depositary Shares

Pharmaceutical Preparations
$9.58
0.01 (0.16%) ▲
5d: +3.85%
30d: -11.83%
90d: +21.66%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 18, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TLX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.09
5.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TLX is currently trading at $9.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.28 to $10.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.6) compared to its historical average (25.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TLX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.83 (+117.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $9.28 - $10.43
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 117.9% below Wall St target ($20.83)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.28 - $10.43
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.69
Resistance Level $9.76
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.64
Wall Street Target $20.83 (+117.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 49.3%
Profit Margin -0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium
PE vs Historical 28.6 vs 25.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.95 (+4%)
2-Year Target $10.36 (+8%)
3-Year Target $10.78 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→25) PE COMPRESSION $9.56 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.6, Growth: 153.8%) $32.27 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 153.8%) $24.69 (+158%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 153.8%) $20.99 (+120%)
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Last updated: June 15, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Net
NEUTRAL

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