TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNC - TENNANT COMPANY
$64.21
-2.30 (-3.45%)
▼
5d:
-2.7%
30d:
+5.2%
90d:
-14.88%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TNC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TNC shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.30
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.49
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $64.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.57 to $72.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: TNC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.75 (+25.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $62.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: TNC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.75 (+25.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$59.57 -
$72.12
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.9% below Wall St target ($83.75)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -11.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.57 -
$72.12
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.70
(4.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$62.51
Resistance Level
$68.78
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.35
Wall Street Target
$83.75
(+25.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.6%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.4 vs 11.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.63
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$66.77
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$66.90
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$66.62
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 17.7%)
$213.87
(+222%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 17.7%)
$108.35
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 17.7%)
$92.10
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$143.35
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.4
Base Case
$130.32
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$44.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is TNC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
James T Jr. Glerum
BUY
8163 shares
2026-03-02
Donal L Mulligan
BUY
3000 shares
2026-02-27
Carol S Eicher
SELL
3130 shares
2026-02-26
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