TNC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TNC - TENNANT COMPANY

REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY
$76.09
-0.54 (-0.70%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 16, 2026 15d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$122.59
Based on 10.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.12
0.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TNC is currently trading at $76.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $74.84 to $78.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.4) is in line with its historical norms (11.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TNC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $110.00 (+43.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $74.84 - $78.52
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 43.5% below Wall St target ($110.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -4.0% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $74.84 - $78.52
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$3.20 (4.2%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $74.70
Resistance Level $80.50
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.41
Wall Street Target $110.00 (+43.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -26.6%
Profit Margin 4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 11.4 vs 11.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $76.94 (+0%)
2-Year Target $77.24 (+1%)
3-Year Target $77.55 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→11) PE COMPRESSION $76.81 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.3%) $235.44 (+207%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.4, Growth: 16.3%) $120.46 (+57%)
Bear: (PE: 9.7, Growth: 16.3%) $102.39 (+34%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.92
Bull Case $166.14 (+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 28.5
Base Case $151.04 (+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 25.9
Bear Case $51.35 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:06 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TNC Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TNC price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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