TNK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TNK - Teekay Tankers Ltd.

Water Transportation
$64.52
0.33 (0.51%) ▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TNK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.81
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.84
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TNK is currently trading at $64.52, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.42 to $62.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TNK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TNK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $54.42 - $62.38
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 28th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

Protect Your Profits

TNK is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($67.80)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $54.42 - $62.38
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$4.26 (6.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $59.35
Resistance Level $65.48
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.21
Wall Street Target $67.80 (+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -16.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 49.2%
Profit Margin 32.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.2 vs 8.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $64.20 (-1%)
2-Year Target $63.88 (-1%)
3-Year Target $63.56 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) $64.25 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 15.2%) $267.76 (+315%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 15.2%) $98.59 (+53%)
Bear: (PE: 7.0, Growth: 15.2%) $83.80 (+30%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.01
Bull Case $55.81 (-14%)
Analyst growth -19.9%, PE expands to 7.7
Base Case $50.73 (-21%)
Market implied -19.9%, PE stable at 7.0
Bear Case $43.06 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.3
Stabilization Target: $65.22 (+1.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:01 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TNK Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TNK price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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