TNL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TNL - Travel + Leisure Co.
$71.17
-0.27 (-0.38%)
▼
5d:
+0.68%
30d:
-5.04%
90d:
+0.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
19d
Get Alerted When TNL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TNL shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$125.22
Based on 9.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$77.75
8.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TNL is currently trading at $71.17, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.13 to $74.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TNL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.17 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TNL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.06. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TNL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.17 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$69.13 -
$74.23
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($87.17)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.13 -
$74.23
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.29
(4.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.07
Resistance Level
$73.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.40
Wall Street Target
$87.17
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.2%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.15
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$66.94
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$64.80
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$71.74
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$291.83
(+309%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 15.4%)
$109.69
(+54%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 15.4%)
$93.23
(+31%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.93 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.44
Bull Case
$150.85
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$137.14
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$46.63
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$79.09
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:47 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TNL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
George Herrera
SELL
1748 shares
2026-03-18
George Herrera
SELL
1214 shares
2026-03-17
Michael Dean Brown
SELL
25938 shares
2026-02-24
Top Rated Travel Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Travel Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TCOM
Trip.com Group Ltd ADR |
STRONG BUY
33 analysts |
$76 | 63 BUY |
|
RCL
Royal Caribbean Cruises … |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$364 | 67 BUY |
|
CCL
Carnival Corporation |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$37 | 55 HOLD |
|
BKNG
Booking Holdings Inc |
BUY
39 analysts |
$5802 | 58 HOLD |
|
EXPE
Expedia Group Inc. |
HOLD
37 analysts |
$281 | 51 HOLD |
