TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$6.73
0.27 (4.10%)
▲
5d:
-7.3%
30d:
-59.09%
90d:
-27.63%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TOYO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.70
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.09
52.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $6.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.35 to $15.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.0) compared to its historical average (3.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.15, while resistance sits at $13.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+145.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.15, while resistance sits at $13.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: TOYO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+145.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$8.35 -
$15.26
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 145.2% below Wall St target ($16.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.35 -
$15.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.15
Resistance Level
$13.39
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.02
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+145.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
177.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 3.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.45
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.91
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→4)
$8.50
(+26%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 45.1%)
$221.56
(+3192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 45.1%)
$20.56
(+206%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 45.1%)
$17.48
(+160%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (3x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 3.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.95
Bull Case
$12.14
(+81%)
Analyst growth 70.8%, PE expands to 3.7
Base Case
$11.04
(+64%)
Market implied 70.8%, PE stable at 3.3
Bear Case
$4.40
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 2.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 3.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.66
(+73.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+73.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 07, 2026 12:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TOYO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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