TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares
$12.67
-0.02 (-0.16%)
▼
5d:
+12.62%
30d:
+0.96%
90d:
+63.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 30, 2026
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6 traders called TOYO this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TOYO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TOYO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.73
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.98
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $12.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.87 to $12.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.4) is in line with its historical norms (3.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 69.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.66, while resistance sits at $13.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+30.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.66, while resistance sits at $13.52.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.50 (+30.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$10.87 -
$12.91
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.2% below Wall St target ($16.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.87 -
$12.91
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.66
Resistance Level
$13.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.36
Wall Street Target
$16.50
(+30.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
641.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
69.8%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.4 vs 3.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.48
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.29
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.11
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→4)
$12.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 59.3%)
$281.19
(+2119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.4, Growth: 59.3%)
$42.76
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.9, Growth: 59.3%)
$36.35
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.13
Bull Case
$27.92
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 12.4
Base Case
$25.38
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$8.63
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.4 to 3.5
Stabilization Target:
$13.21
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 2:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:54 AM
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