TRAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRAK - ReposiTrak, Inc.
$10.62
-0.13 (-1.21%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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1 traders called TRAK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRAK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRAK trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -11.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.42
31.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRAK is currently trading at $10.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.81 to $12.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.1) compared to its historical average (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 12.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TRAK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+169.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRAK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $10.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TRAK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.00 (+169.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$10.81 -
$12.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
44th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 44th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 169.8% below Wall St target ($29.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.81 -
$12.43
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.07
(10.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.51
Resistance Level
$11.42
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.08
Wall Street Target
$29.00
(+169.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
12.5%
Profit Margin
30.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 30.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$8.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$7.84
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→30)
$11.19
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 30.8%)
$25.43
(+137%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 30.8%)
$24.04
(+124%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 30.8%)
$20.43
(+90%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.36
Bull Case
$16.69
(+57%)
Analyst growth 41.7%, PE expands to 32.7
Base Case
$15.17
(+43%)
Market implied 41.7%, PE stable at 29.8
Bear Case
$7.28
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$15.35
(+42.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+42.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRAK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRAK price and gamma walls.