TRGP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRGP - Targa Resources Corp.
$200.98
-0.54 (-0.27%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
19d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRGP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TRGP is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$283.09
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$175.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRGP is currently trading at $200.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.39 to $192.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (18.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRGP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.76, while resistance sits at $207.47.
Market Sentiment: TRGP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRGP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $179.76, while resistance sits at $207.47.
Market Sentiment: TRGP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$178.39 -
$192.25
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
TRGP is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($212.15)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$178.39 -
$192.25
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$179.76
Resistance Level
$207.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.17
Wall Street Target
$212.15
(+5.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.2% premium
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 18.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$207.97
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$214.62
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$221.49
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$200.95
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.4%)
$333.30
(+65%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.4%)
$301.48
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.4%)
$256.26
(+27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.41
Bull Case
$289.26
(+44%)
Analyst growth 34.8%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$262.96
(+31%)
Market implied 34.8%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$132.63
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRGP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRGP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRGP price and gamma walls.
