TRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TRI - Thomson Reuters Corporation Common Shares

Miscellaneous Publishing
$90.19
2.14 (2.43%) ▲
5d: -0.21%
30d: -13.96%
90d: -31.62%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your TRI Gains
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

TRI is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-05-15 with 261 OI. Call ratio: 83% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$187.02
Based on 9.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$116.13
22.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TRI is currently trading at $90.19, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.56 to $103.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (24.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TRI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $85.23, while resistance sits at $94.45.

Market Sentiment: TRI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $130.50 (+44.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $88.56 - $103.75
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($130.50)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $88.56 - $103.75
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $85.23
Resistance Level $94.45
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.92
Wall Street Target $130.50 (+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.6%
Profit Margin 20.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.9 vs 24.1 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $81.71 (-9%)
2-Year Target $74.03 (-18%)
3-Year Target $67.07 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→24) $90.23 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.2%) $154.14 (+71%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 14.2%) $134.24 (+49%)
Bear: (PE: 15.2, Growth: 14.2%) $114.11 (+27%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.29
Bull Case $157.28 (+73%)
Analyst growth 53.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case $142.98 (+57%)
Market implied 53.0%, PE stable at 28.4
Bear Case $63.54 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 24.1
Stabilization Target: $121.33 (+34.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.5%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced TRI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRI price and gamma walls.

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