TRIP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRIP - TripAdvisor, Inc.
$12.86
-0.45 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-1.52%
30d:
-12.15%
90d:
-19.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
8d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRIP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRIP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.55
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.11
24.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRIP is currently trading at $12.86, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.23 to $14.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 59.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRIP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.53 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRIP is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.80. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: TRIP has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.53 (+31.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.23 -
$14.61
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TRIP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.7% below Wall St target ($17.53)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.23 -
$14.61
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.80
Resistance Level
$14.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.53
Wall Street Target
$17.53
(+31.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
59.3%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 8.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.02
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.73
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$12.45
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$13.23
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.0%)
$88.64
(+566%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 31.0%)
$29.92
(+125%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.4, Growth: 31.0%)
$25.43
(+91%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.60
Bull Case
$29.24
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$26.58
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$9.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$14.15
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 10:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRIP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Seth J Kalvert
SELL
10880 shares
2025-09-19
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