TRMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$46.38
-0.71 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
+5.53%
90d:
+9.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRMK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: TRMK is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.9% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.12
Based on 4.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.61
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $46.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.99 to $46.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.3) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRMK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.43. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRMK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.99 -
$46.10
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($47.45)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.99 -
$46.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.84
Resistance Level
$45.43
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.34
Wall Street Target
$47.45
(+2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.26
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$48.16
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$49.07
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$46.29
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 4.7%)
$102.18
(+120%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 4.7%)
$53.22
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.7%)
$45.24
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$56.17
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.4%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$51.07
(+10%)
Market implied 8.4%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$32.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 05, 2026 5:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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