TRMK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRMK - Trustmark Corp
$43.10
-0.66 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
-3.64%
30d:
-2.4%
90d:
-3.64%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TRMK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.65
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.93
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRMK is currently trading at $43.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.93 to $45.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.5) is in line with its historical norms (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 8.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.45 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRMK is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $42.82. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $47.45 (+10.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.93 -
$45.12
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($47.45)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.93 -
$45.12
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$42.82
Resistance Level
$45.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.52
Wall Street Target
$47.45
(+10.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Profit Margin
28.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 10.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.88
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$42.67
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$42.46
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$43.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.0%)
$104.56
(+143%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 5.0%)
$49.82
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 5.0%)
$42.35
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.77
Bull Case
$52.33
(+21%)
Analyst growth 8.7%, PE expands to 12.8
Base Case
$47.57
(+10%)
Market implied 8.7%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$29.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$43.85
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRMK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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