TRNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRNO - Terreno Realty Corporation
$61.54
0.10 (0.16%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TRNO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.81
Based on -20.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.71
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRNO is currently trading at $61.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.26 to $61.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 38.6) is in line with its historical norms (38.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 170.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRNO is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$59.26 -
$61.68
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($66.29)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.26 -
$61.68
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.20
(3.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.82
Resistance Level
$63.17
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.57
Wall Street Target
$66.29
(+7.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
170.3%
Profit Margin
72.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.6 vs 38.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$61.36
(0%)
2-Year Target
$61.17
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$60.99
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→39)
$61.51
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.6, Growth: -45.9%)
$44.86
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -45.9%)
$25.94
(-58%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -45.9%)
$22.05
(-64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 18.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.16
Bull Case
$33.30
(-46%)
Analyst growth -49.5%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$30.27
(-51%)
Market implied -49.5%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$40.77
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.6 to 38.9
Stabilization Target:
$62.06
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael A Coke
SELL
10000 shares
2025-08-14
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Advanced TRNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRNO price and gamma walls.
