TRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TRP - TC Energy Corporation
$58.67
-0.57 (-0.96%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TRP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TRP shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$74.16
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.05
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TRP is currently trading at $58.67, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $53.91 to $56.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.70. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TRP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $59.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TRP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $51.70. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$53.91 -
$56.99
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TRP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 12.7% above Wall St target ($51.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.8% growth with 10.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$53.91 -
$56.99
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.74
Resistance Level
$59.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.75
Wall Street Target
$51.70
(-12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-58.4%
Profit Margin
23.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
15.8 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.90
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$62.60
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$64.36
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 8.7%)
$107.76
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$76.10
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: 8.7%)
$64.69
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.61
Bull Case
$91.53
(+55%)
Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$83.21
(+41%)
Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$39.25
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced TRP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TRP price and gamma walls.
