TSEM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSEM - Tower Semiconductor Ltd
$134.73
0.02 (0.01%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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1 traders called TSEM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSEM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.98
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$88.16
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSEM is currently trading at $134.73, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $119.27 to $130.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 46.2) compared to its historical average (40.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.00, while resistance sits at $139.35.
Market Sentiment: TSEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSEM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.00, while resistance sits at $139.35.
Market Sentiment: TSEM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$119.27 -
$130.95
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($135.71)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$119.27 -
$130.95
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.00
Resistance Level
$139.35
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.19
Wall Street Target
$135.71
(+0.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
46.2 vs 40.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$141.31
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$148.24
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$155.50
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46→40)
PE COMPRESSION
$134.65
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.2, Growth: 33.9%)
$323.25
(+140%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 33.9%)
$156.06
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 33.9%)
$132.65
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (51x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 51.28 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.63
Bull Case
$162.69
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 53.9
Base Case
$134.73
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 51.3
Bear Case
$103.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 46.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSEM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TSEM price and gamma walls.
