TSQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSQ - TOWNSQUARE MEDIA, INC.
$4.91
-0.06 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-8.22%
30d:
-33.65%
90d:
-4.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TSQ trades at premium valuation expecting 9.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: TSQ trades at premium valuation expecting 9.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.81
Based on -5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.74
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSQ is currently trading at $4.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.53 to $7.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.0) compared to its historical average (9.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+154.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSQ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+154.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$5.53 -
$7.46
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 154.6% below Wall St target ($12.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 9.6% growth expectation is conservative given 177% recent growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.2% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$5.53 -
$7.46
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.87
Resistance Level
$6.37
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.98
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+154.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
176.7%
Profit Margin
-2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.0 vs 9.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.38
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$5.90
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$6.46
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.91
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -14.6%)
$6.68
(+36%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: -14.6%)
$3.58
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: -14.6%)
$2.72
(-45%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.18
Bull Case
$2.90
(-42%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 4.9
Base Case
$2.64
(-47%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 4.5
Bear Case
$3.59
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:57 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Scott Schatz
BUY
980 shares
2026-02-02
Erik Hellum
SELL
6522 shares
2026-01-20
Erik Hellum
SELL
7437 shares
2026-01-16
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