TTE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTE - TotalEnergies SE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$72.40
-0.23 (-0.32%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TTE is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.91
Based on -1.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.82
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTE is currently trading at $72.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.19 to $69.58. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $73.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TTE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $64.19 - $69.58
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

Protect Your Profits

TTE is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($71.94)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $64.19 - $69.58
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $65.73
Resistance Level $73.75
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.22
Wall Street Target $71.94 (-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 70.8%
Profit Margin 7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 11.2 vs 10.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $74.52 (+3%)
2-Year Target $76.46 (+5%)
3-Year Target $78.44 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→10) PE COMPRESSION $72.73 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -7.8%) $113.04 (+56%)
Base: (SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: -7.8%) $56.86 (-22%)
Bear: (PE: 9.5, Growth: -7.8%) $48.33 (-34%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.19
Bull Case $82.30 (+14%)
Analyst growth 4.6%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case $74.82 (+3%)
Market implied 4.6%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case $48.63 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain SELL 2025-09-11
Lisa C. McClain BUY 2025-08-13

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Advanced TTE Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TTE price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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