TTE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TTE - TotalEnergies SE

Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
$92.39
2.61 (2.91%) ▲
5d: +2.71%
30d: +20.11%
90d: +41.23%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 25d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TTE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.72
Based on -4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.50
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TTE is currently trading at $92.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $79.01 to $89.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TTE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $93.29. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: TTE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $79.01 - $89.26
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($89.94)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $79.01 - $89.26
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $86.06
Resistance Level $93.29
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.14
Wall Street Target $89.94 (-2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -27.4%
Profit Margin 7.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.1 vs 11.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $89.99 (-3%)
2-Year Target $87.65 (-5%)
3-Year Target $85.37 (-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $92.63 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: -12.6%) $136.67 (+48%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: -12.6%) $67.35 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 8.6, Growth: -12.6%) $57.25 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case $133.58 (+50%)
Analyst growth 36.8%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case $121.43 (+36%)
Market implied 36.8%, PE stable at 15.4
Bear Case $60.35 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 11.0
Stabilization Target: $100.25 (+8.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.5%
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Last updated: April 02, 2026 11:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:53 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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