TWIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TWIN - Twin Disc, Incorporated
$17.19
0.29 (1.72%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
Get Alerted When TWIN Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TWIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: TWIN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.95
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.32
23.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TWIN is currently trading at $17.19, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.70 to $17.99. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (13.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.02, while resistance sits at $19.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+39.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TWIN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.02, while resistance sits at $19.33.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (18th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $24.00 (+39.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$16.70 -
$17.99
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
18th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 18th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.6% below Wall St target ($24.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.70 -
$17.99
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.96
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.02
Resistance Level
$19.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$24.00
(+39.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.2%
Profit Margin
0.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 13.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.78
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$16.37
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$15.98
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$17.16
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.7%)
$74.01
(+331%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 32.7%)
$40.18
(+134%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 32.7%)
$34.15
(+99%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 7.48 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.30
Bull Case
$20.76
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$17.19
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 7.5
Bear Case
$13.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.1 to 13.0
Stabilization Target:
$18.46
(+7.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.4%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:29 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is TWIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Industrial Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GEV
GE Vernova LLC |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$755 | 64 BUY |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Company |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$156 | 63 BUY |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC |
BUY
30 analysts |
$397 | 64 BUY |
|
ROK
Rockwell Automation Inc |
HOLD
29 analysts |
$416 | 63 BUY |
|
PH
Parker-Hannifin Corporat… |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$966 | 62 BUY |
Advanced TWIN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TWIN price and gamma walls.
