Is UDMY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, UDMY is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: UDMY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of UDMY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for UDMY to be between $4.94 and $5.74. The current price is $4.94.

What is the analyst price target for UDMY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for UDMY is $8.51. This implies a potential upside of 77.0% from current levels.

UDMY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UDMY - Udemy, Inc. Common Stock

SERVICES-EDUCATIONAL SERVICES

$4.94

0.13 (2.70%) ▲

5d: -1.0%

30d: -15.56%

90d: -12.26%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Last Updated: February 2, 2026

Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 2d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UDMY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: -5.3%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$5.24

Based on -0.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$3.25

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UDMY is currently trading at $4.94, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.94 to $5.74. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.8) compared to its historical average (11.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UDMY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.75, while resistance sits at $5.23.

Market Sentiment: UDMY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.51 (+77.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Fair Price Range $4.94 - $5.74

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 77.0% below Wall St target ($8.51)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.94 - $5.74

Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.75

Resistance Level $5.23

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.84

Wall Street Target $8.51 (+77.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.1%

Profit Margin -0.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -3.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.8 vs 11.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -3.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $4.62 (-4%)

2-Year Target $4.44 (-8%)

3-Year Target $4.27 (-11%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→11) $4.81 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: -5.3%) $9.26 (+93%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.8, Growth: -5.3%) $4.09 (-15%)

Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: -5.3%) $3.48 (-28%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.8 to 11.1

Stabilization Target: $5.42 (+12.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +12.8%

Last updated: February 02, 2026 2:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:41 PM

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Technical Signals Check

Is UDMY showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Sarah Blanchard SELL 25000 shares 2025-09-15

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