UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$89.19
0.04 (0.04%)
▲
5d:
-3.13%
30d:
+9.68%
90d:
-2.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UFPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UFPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.78
Based on 11.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$94.25
5.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $89.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.81 to $88.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+15.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$80.81 -
$88.74
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($103.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -8.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.81 -
$88.74
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.49
Resistance Level
$84.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.22
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.55
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$89.90
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$90.26
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$89.06
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.3%)
$203.43
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 19.3%)
$151.46
(+70%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 19.3%)
$128.74
(+44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.59
Bull Case
$117.51
(+32%)
Analyst growth 19.8%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$106.82
(+20%)
Market implied 19.8%, PE stable at 19.4
Bear Case
$60.62
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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