UFPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UFPI - UFP Industries, Inc. Common Stock
$80.01
-3.50 (-4.19%)
▼
5d:
-5.18%
30d:
-13.18%
90d:
-30.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UFPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UFPI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$153.29
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$95.18
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UFPI is currently trading at $80.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $84.23 to $96.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UFPI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $80.06. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: UFPI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $103.00 (+28.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$84.23 -
$96.19
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 28.7% below Wall St target ($103.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$84.23 -
$96.19
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$80.06
Resistance Level
$86.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.48
Wall Street Target
$103.00
(+28.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-31.4%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.97
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$74.04
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$71.23
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$80.16
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.7%)
$203.86
(+155%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 18.7%)
$133.79
(+67%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 18.7%)
$113.72
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.59
Bull Case
$110.55
(+38%)
Analyst growth 20.3%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$100.50
(+26%)
Market implied 20.3%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$56.79
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$90.04
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UFPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
Matthew J Missad
SELL
11000 shares
2025-12-11
Michael G Wooldridge
SELL
1192 shares
2025-11-26
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