UHS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UHS - Universal Health Services, Inc. Class B

SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC
$201.26
1.13 (0.56%) β–²
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: UHS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$287.54
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$178.54
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UHS is currently trading at $201.26, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $200.40 to $219.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 54.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UHS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $196.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $250.35 (+24.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $200.40 - $219.83
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 24.4% below Wall St target ($250.35)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $200.40 - $219.83
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$9.34 (4.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $196.11
Resistance Level $213.43
Current Trend Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.61
Wall Street Target $250.35 (+24.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 54.2%
Profit Margin 8.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 9.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $196.43 (-2%)
2-Year Target $191.72 (-5%)
3-Year Target $187.11 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9β†’9) $202.21 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.5%) $646.98 (+222%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 7.5%) $249.68 (+24%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 7.5%) $212.23 (+5%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $21.01
Bull Case $248.58 (+24%)
Analyst growth 11.3%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case $225.98 (+12%)
Market implied 11.3%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case $138.05 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.3
Stabilization Target: $217.49 (+8.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +8.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced UHS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UHS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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