UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$56.97
-3.01 (-5.02%)
▼
5d:
-6.02%
30d:
-20.3%
90d:
-13.38%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.53
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.21
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $56.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.80 to $71.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.27 (+32.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $55.77. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.27 (+32.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$60.80 -
$71.14
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.1% below Wall St target ($75.27)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.80 -
$71.14
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$55.77
Resistance Level
$63.61
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.90
Wall Street Target
$75.27
(+32.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 20.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$53.21
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$49.70
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$46.42
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$57.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$90.93
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: 6.5%)
$68.76
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$58.45
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.97
Bull Case
$76.75
(+26%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$69.78
(+14%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$41.81
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 20.8
Stabilization Target:
$70.11
(+23.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 01, 2026 1:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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