UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

UL - Unilever plc

Soap, Detergents, Cleang Preparations, Perfumes, Cosmetics
$59.98
0.61 (1.03%) ▲
5d: -1.78%
30d: -18.67%
90d: -9.37%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$90.53
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$56.21
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $59.98, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.52 to $71.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (20.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.37. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.46 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $61.52 - $71.49
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($75.46)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $61.52 - $71.49
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $59.37
Resistance Level $66.20
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.80
Wall Street Target $75.46 (+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.4%
Profit Margin 18.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.8 vs 20.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -5.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $56.92 (-5%)
2-Year Target $54.02 (-10%)
3-Year Target $51.26 (-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→21) $59.92 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.5%) $90.93 (+52%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 6.5%) $72.40 (+21%)
Bear: (PE: 15.1, Growth: 6.5%) $61.54 (+3%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.97
Bull Case $76.75 (+26%)
Analyst growth 13.5%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case $69.78 (+14%)
Market implied 13.5%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case $41.81 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.8 to 20.8
Stabilization Target: $70.11 (+16.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +16.9%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:50 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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