UL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UL - Unilever plc
$68.36
0.83 (1.23%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.5% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.36
Based on 4.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.52
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UL is currently trading at $68.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.06 to $66.73. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $68.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$64.06 -
$66.73
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($70.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -3.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$64.06 -
$66.73
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.82
Resistance Level
$68.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.14
Wall Street Target
$70.32
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.4%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
22.1 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$69.39
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$70.43
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$71.48
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$68.11
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.1%)
$79.83
(+17%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 5.1%)
$79.27
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 5.1%)
$67.38
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.25 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.99
Bull Case
$75.56
(+11%)
Analyst growth 3.2%, PE expands to 24.5
Base Case
$68.69
(+1%)
Market implied 3.2%, PE stable at 22.3
Bear Case
$45.24
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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