UMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UMC - United Microelectronic Corp.
$8.61
-0.26 (-2.93%)
▼
5d:
-5.28%
30d:
-17.53%
90d:
+7.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
21d
Get Alerted When UMC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UMC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UMC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.34
35.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UMC is currently trading at $8.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.10 to $10.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UMC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UMC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $8.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UMC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$9.10 -
$10.26
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
50.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($8.17)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.3%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.10 -
$10.26
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.65
Resistance Level
$9.57
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.47
Wall Street Target
$8.17
(-5.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 14.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.92
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.29
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$6.70
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$8.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 31.6%)
$38.25
(+344%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 31.6%)
$19.63
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.7, Growth: 31.6%)
$16.68
(+94%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.52
Bull Case
$14.48
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.4%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$13.17
(+45%)
Market implied 44.4%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$6.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.04
(+28.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is UMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$261 | 61 BUY |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$121 | 54 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$269 | 53 HOLD |
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
42 analysts |
$472 | 46 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$513 | 40 HOLD |
