UPLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UPLD - Upland Software, Inc.
$1.31
-0.02 (-1.50%)
▼
5d:
-10.27%
30d:
-8.39%
90d:
-36.1%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UPLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UPLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.32
Based on -2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.82
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UPLD is currently trading at $1.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.41 to $1.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.7) compared to its historical average (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UPLD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.33 (+230.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UPLD is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.31. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: UPLD has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.33 (+230.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$1.41 -
$1.54
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 230.8% below Wall St target ($4.33)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-10.3%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.41 -
$1.54
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.32
Resistance Level
$1.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.73
Wall Street Target
$4.33
(+230.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-24.2%
Profit Margin
-18.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.7 vs 2.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.25
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$1.18
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$1.13
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$1.30
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -9.2%)
$12.64
(+865%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.7, Growth: -9.2%)
$0.98
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.5, Growth: -9.2%)
$0.83
(-36%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.7 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$1.51
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:18 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UPLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John T Mcdonald
SELL
14438 shares
2025-09-11
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