URGN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

URGN - UroGen Pharma Ltd. Ordinary Shares

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$28.78
-0.90 (-3.03%) ▼
5d: -2.11%
30d: +34.55%
90d: +43.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your URGN Gains
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

URGN is down 3.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $24 2026-06-18 with 37 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: URGN is 9.1% above its trading range ($26.38). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.62
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: URGN is currently trading at $28.78, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.09 to $26.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, URGN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $22.68, while resistance sits at $32.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: URGN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $36.44 (+26.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $20.09 - $26.38
Company Quality Score 61/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+9.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 26.6% below Wall St target ($36.44)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $20.09 - $26.38
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $22.68
Resistance Level $32.37
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.03
Wall Street Target $36.44 (+26.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 151.6%
Profit Margin -94.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 20.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $28.55 (-1%)
2-Year Target $28.32 (-2%)
3-Year Target $28.09 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→21) $28.75 (0%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 20.5
Stabilization Target: $29.45 (+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.3%
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Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jason Drew Smith SELL 7479 shares 2026-02-03
Mark Schoenberg SELL 7373 shares 2026-02-03

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Advanced URGN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's URGN price and gamma walls.

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