UTI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTI - Universal Technical Institute, Inc.
$36.88
-0.31 (-0.83%)
▼
5d:
-3.05%
30d:
+1.88%
90d:
+35.09%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
UTI is up 5.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 3,251 OI. Put ratio: 89% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.23
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.64
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTI is currently trading at $36.88, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $33.72 to $37.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 42.3) compared to its historical average (33.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.16, while resistance sits at $40.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.16, while resistance sits at $40.41.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$33.72 -
$37.81
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($37.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.2% growth with 9.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$33.72 -
$37.81
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.85
(7.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.16
Resistance Level
$40.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
42.26
Wall Street Target
$37.33
(+0.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-42.5%
Profit Margin
6.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.2% premium
PE vs Historical
42.3 vs 33.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$40.24
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$43.54
(+17%)
3-Year Target
$47.11
(+27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 42→33)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.12
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 42.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$54.09
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.3%)
$28.67
(-23%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 13.3%)
$24.37
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 36.81 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$35.63
(-6%)
Analyst growth -8.3%, PE expands to 40.5
Base Case
$32.40
(-15%)
Market implied -8.3%, PE stable at 36.8
Bear Case
$24.03
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
George W Brochick
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-17
Shannon Lei Okinaka
SELL
10000 shares
2026-03-06
Todd A Hitchcock
SELL
16500 shares
2026-03-04
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Advanced UTI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's UTI price and gamma walls.
