UTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UTZ - Utz Brands, Inc.
$10.54
0.23 (2.23%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: UTZ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.18
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UTZ is currently trading at $10.54, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.04 to $10.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.60 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UTZ is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: UTZ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.60 (+38.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$10.04 -
$10.48
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.5% below Wall St target ($14.60)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 3.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$10.04 -
$10.48
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.03
Resistance Level
$10.80
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.85
Wall Street Target
$14.60
(+38.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-47.8%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.67
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$10.79
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$10.92
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.51
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.9%)
$26.31
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$13.98
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 9.9%)
$11.88
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.91
Bull Case
$12.73
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.2
Base Case
$10.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.6
Bear Case
$8.06
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 9:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christina Choi
SELL
5703 shares
2025-09-04
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