VFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VFC - V.F. Corporation
$16.92
-0.07 (-0.41%)
▼
5d:
-1.69%
30d:
-9.95%
90d:
-7.34%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
VFC is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-05-15 with 6,008 OI. Call ratio: 92% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VFC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 78% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VFC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -3.8% annual earnings decline despite 78% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.03
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.99
26.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VFC is currently trading at $16.92, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.15 to $18.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 78.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VFC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.00, while resistance sits at $17.68.
Market Sentiment: VFC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.21 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VFC is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $16.00, while resistance sits at $17.68.
Market Sentiment: VFC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.21 (+19.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$16.15 -
$18.75
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.15 -
$18.75
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.01
Resistance Level
$17.68
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.19
Wall Street Target
$20.21
(+19.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
78.1%
Profit Margin
2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.28
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$15.66
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$15.06
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$16.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 25.1%)
$45.71
(+170%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 25.1%)
$33.12
(+96%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 25.1%)
$28.15
(+66%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.56 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.57
Bull Case
$32.83
(+94%)
Analyst growth 83.3%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$29.84
(+76%)
Market implied 83.3%, PE stable at 28.6
Bear Case
$11.07
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$19.02
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 7:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Juliana L Chugg
SELL
6678 shares
2026-02-10
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Advanced VFC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VFC price and gamma walls.
