VICR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VICR - Vicor Corp

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$141.65
-11.37 (-7.43%) β–Ό
5d: -18.15%
30d: -29.67%
90d: +27.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

VICR is down 18.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $200 2026-05-15 with 22 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: VICR is down 18.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$204.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.86
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VICR is currently trading at $141.65, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.38 to $197.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.5) compared to its historical average (58.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 345.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VICR is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $141.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.4% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (23th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $208.75 (+36.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $162.38 - $197.16
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 23th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 23th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.4%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($208.75)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $162.38 - $197.16
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) Β±$17.69 (12.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $141.63
Resistance Level $201.84
Current Trend Support Break
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 36.46
Wall Street Target $208.75 (+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 11.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 345.6%
Profit Margin 29.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 36.5 vs 58.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $137.72 (-10%)
2-Year Target $123.95 (-19%)
3-Year Target $111.55 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36β†’59) $180.20 (+18%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 36.5, Growth: 62.0%) $516.44 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 62.0%) $317.27 (+107%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 62.0%) $269.68 (+76%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (63x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 63.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.61
Bull Case $291.03 (+68%)
Analyst growth 60.8%, PE expands to 69.4
Base Case $264.57 (+53%)
Market implied 60.8%, PE stable at 63.0
Bear Case $111.89 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 53.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.5 to 58.9
Stabilization Target: $247.19 (+61.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +61.5%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael Mcnamara SELL 7174 shares 2026-03-17
Patrizio Vinciarelli SELL 50000 shares 2026-03-16
Estia J Eichten SELL 2000 shares 2026-03-13

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Advanced VICR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VICR price and gamma walls.

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