VIK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VIK - Viking Holdings Ltd
$72.15
-2.14 (-2.88%)
ā¼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ā BUY SIGNAL: VIK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
ā BUY SIGNAL: VIK shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$136.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.45
14.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VIK is currently trading at $72.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.81 to $73.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (21.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.74, while resistance sits at $74.83.
Market Sentiment: VIK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VIK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.74, while resistance sits at $74.83.
Market Sentiment: VIK has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$69.81 -
$73.37
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($73.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$69.81 -
$73.37
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.74
Resistance Level
$74.83
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.44
Wall Street Target
$73.56
(-1.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.2%
Profit Margin
15.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 21.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.92
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$77.59
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$79.30
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22ā21)
PE COMPRESSION
$74.55
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 32.5%)
$172.75
(+133%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.5%)
$171.64
(+131%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.5%)
$145.90
(+96%)
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Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$118.47
(+64%)
Analyst growth 54.7%, PE expands to 35.8
Base Case
$107.70
(+49%)
Market implied 54.7%, PE stable at 32.5
Bear Case
$47.35
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:20 PM
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Advanced VIK Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIK price and gamma walls.
