VMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VMC - Vulcan Materials Company(Holding Company)
$300.54
1.07 (0.36%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 17, 2026
15d
Get Alerted When VMC Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
1 traders called VMC this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VMC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VMC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$399.38
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$247.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VMC is currently trading at $300.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $292.51 to $305.10. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 30.7) is in line with its historical norms (30.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $294.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VMC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $294.99. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$292.51 -
$305.10
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($326.78)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$292.51 -
$305.10
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$12.40
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$294.99
Resistance Level
$306.86
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.66
Wall Street Target
$326.78
(+8.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
80.8%
Profit Margin
14.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
30.7 vs 30.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$302.64
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$304.76
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$306.90
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$300.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.7, Growth: 16.7%)
$477.16
(+59%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 16.7%)
$347.10
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 16.7%)
$295.03
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.48
Bull Case
$381.89
(+27%)
Analyst growth 15.8%, PE expands to 38.9
Base Case
$347.17
(+16%)
Market implied 15.8%, PE stable at 35.4
Bear Case
$203.82
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is VMC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David P Clement
SELL
698 shares
2025-09-12
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-21
Top Rated Building Materials Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Materials by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CRH
CRH PLC ADR |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$140 | 58 HOLD |
|
MLM
Martin Marietta Material… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$681 | 61 BUY |
|
CX
Cemex SAB de CV ADR |
BUY
14 analysts |
$12 | 53 HOLD |
|
KNF
Knife River Corporation |
STRONG BUY
9 analysts |
$97 | 49 HOLD |
|
TTAM
Titan America SA |
BUY
8 analysts |
$17 | 58 HOLD |
Advanced VMC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VMC price and gamma walls.
