VREX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VREX - Varex Imaging Corporation Common Stock

ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, NEC
$10.13
0.81 (8.69%) ▲
5d: +0.6%
30d: -15.58%
90d: -26.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 20, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: VREX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.74
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.64
13.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VREX is currently trading at $10.13, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.19 to $12.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (12.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 453.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VREX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.09, while resistance sits at $12.39. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 8.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: VREX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.80 (+85.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $10.19 - $12.24
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+8.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 85.6% below Wall St target ($18.80)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.19 - $12.24
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.09
Resistance Level $12.39
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 20, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.93
Wall Street Target $18.80 (+85.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 453.4%
Profit Margin -9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.9 vs 12.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $9.39 (-7%)
2-Year Target $8.71 (-14%)
3-Year Target $8.07 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→13) $10.16 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.1, Growth: 12.1%) $31.67 (+213%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 12.1%) $14.27 (+41%)
Bear: (PE: 8.4, Growth: 12.1%) $12.13 (+20%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 12.5
Stabilization Target: $12.75 (+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +25.9%
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Last updated: May 21, 2026 2:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jay K Kunkel SELL 4510 shares 2026-03-20

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