VRTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.

INVESTMENT ADVICE
$163.25
-2.66 (-1.60%) β–Ό
5d: -2.07%
30d: -0.54%
90d: -1.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 06, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
βœ… BUY SIGNAL: VRTS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$315.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.72
16.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VRTS is currently trading at $163.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $164.42 to $170.92. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.5) is in line with its historical norms (6.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $160.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $181.25 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $164.42 - $170.92
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($181.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -4.7% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $164.42 - $170.92
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $160.29
Resistance Level $171.15
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.45
Wall Street Target $181.25 (+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -18.6%
Profit Margin 15.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 6.5 vs 6.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $163.90 (+0%)
2-Year Target $164.56 (+1%)
3-Year Target $165.22 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 6β†’6) PE COMPRESSION $163.82 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.3%) $570.85 (+250%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.5, Growth: 40.3%) $165.23 (+1%)
Bear: (PE: 5.5, Growth: 40.3%) $140.45 (-14%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.47
Bull Case $237.55 (+46%)
Analyst growth 29.9%, PE expands to 9.4
Base Case $215.96 (+32%)
Market implied 29.9%, PE stable at 8.5
Bear Case $113.05 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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