VRTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
$130.16
1.05 (0.81%)
▲
5d:
+0.1%
30d:
-5.93%
90d:
-21.79%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VRTS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VRTS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$203.56
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRTS is currently trading at $130.16, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.43 to $140.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.9) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $125.40, while resistance sits at $134.36.
Market Sentiment: VRTS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.25 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $125.40, while resistance sits at $134.36.
Market Sentiment: VRTS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.25 (+24.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$128.43 -
$140.79
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.7% below Wall St target ($162.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$128.43 -
$140.79
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$125.40
Resistance Level
$134.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.87
Wall Street Target
$162.25
(+24.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.9 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$122.74
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$115.74
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$109.15
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$130.03
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$736.18
(+466%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$160.36
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$136.31
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.97
Bull Case
$186.36
(+43%)
Analyst growth 33.9%, PE expands to 7.0
Base Case
$169.42
(+30%)
Market implied 33.9%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$86.05
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.9 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$155.06
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:55 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:55 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
W Howard Morris
BUY
1900 shares
2026-03-12
W Howard Morris
BUY
2150 shares
2026-03-12
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