VRTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VRTS - Virtus Investment Partners, Inc.
$130.45
1.34 (1.04%)
▲
5d:
+0.32%
30d:
-5.72%
90d:
-21.62%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 24, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VRTS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VRTS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -6.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$203.56
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$126.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VRTS is currently trading at $130.45, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.45 to $140.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (5.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $134.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.25 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VRTS is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $134.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.25 (+25.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$128.45 -
$140.80
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.7% below Wall St target ($162.25)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$128.45 -
$140.80
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.70
Resistance Level
$134.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.83
Wall Street Target
$162.25
(+25.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.7%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 5.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.36
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$114.08
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$107.24
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$128.79
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.2%)
$737.83
(+472%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 7.2%)
$159.07
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.1, Growth: 7.2%)
$135.21
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (6x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 6.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.97
Bull Case
$186.36
(+43%)
Analyst growth 33.9%, PE expands to 7.0
Base Case
$169.42
(+30%)
Market implied 33.9%, PE stable at 6.3
Bear Case
$86.05
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 5.8
Stabilization Target:
$155.06
(+20.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VRTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
W Howard Morris
BUY
1900 shares
2026-03-12
W Howard Morris
BUY
2150 shares
2026-03-12
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