VSTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VSTA - Vasta Platform Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
$4.90
-0.08 (-1.61%)
▼
5d:
+0.2%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
-1.61%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 28, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: VSTA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: VSTA is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.08
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.64
13.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VSTA is currently trading at $4.90, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.85 to $5.02. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.9) is in line with its historical norms (2.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 975.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSTA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.60, while resistance sits at $5.05.
Market Sentiment: VSTA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VSTA is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.60, while resistance sits at $5.05.
Market Sentiment: VSTA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$4.85 -
$5.02
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($4.59)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.85 -
$5.02
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.60
Resistance Level
$5.05
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.95
Wall Street Target
$4.59
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
975.3%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.0 vs 2.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.89
(0%)
2-Year Target
$4.88
(0%)
3-Year Target
$4.87
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
$4.99
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.5%)
$100.52
(+1951%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.0, Growth: 21.5%)
$8.80
(+80%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.7, Growth: 21.5%)
$7.48
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (4x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 4.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.14
Bull Case
$10.90
(+123%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 4.8
Base Case
$9.91
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 4.4
Bear Case
$3.37
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.0 to 2.0
Stabilization Target:
$5.02
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 2:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VSTA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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