VTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$77.67
0.80 (1.04%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: VTR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.08
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $77.67, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $75.89 to $78.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 136.1) is in line with its historical norms (137.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 201.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.90 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: VTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $85.90 (+11.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$75.89 -
$78.61
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding VTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($85.90)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$75.89 -
$78.61
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.67
Resistance Level
$78.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
136.05
Wall Street Target
$85.90
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
201.6%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
136.1 vs 137.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.64
(0%)
2-Year Target
$76.41
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$76.18
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 136→137)
$76.82
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 136.1, Growth: 109.3%)
$259.44
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 109.3%)
$42.52
(-45%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 109.3%)
$36.14
(-53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 129.87 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.60
Bull Case
$93.79
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 136.4
Base Case
$77.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 129.9
Bear Case
$59.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 116.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 136.1 to 137.2
Stabilization Target:
$77.52
(+0.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 3:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Debra A Cafaro
SELL
219515 shares
2025-10-20
Debra A Cafaro
SELL
10322 shares
2025-10-01
Peter J Bulgarelli
SELL
2554 shares
2025-10-01
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Advanced VTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VTR price and gamma walls.
