VTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTR - Ventas, Inc.
$81.62
-0.29 (-0.35%)
▼
5d:
-0.28%
30d:
-5.27%
90d:
+2.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
VTR is down 5.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $90 2026-05-15 with 636 OI. Call ratio: 97% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: VTR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -9.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.58
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTR is currently trading at $81.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.38 to $87.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 85.3) compared to its historical average (115.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 10.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.75 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $81.26. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.75 (+13.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$83.38 -
$87.20
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($92.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$83.38 -
$87.20
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.26
Resistance Level
$88.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
85.31
Wall Street Target
$92.75
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
85.3 vs 115.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$73.78
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$66.70
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$60.30
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 85→116)
$81.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 85.3, Growth: 42.8%)
$237.63
(+191%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 42.8%)
$62.25
(-24%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 42.8%)
$52.91
(-35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (135x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (85x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 135.14 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.61
Bull Case
$98.83
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 141.9
Base Case
$81.85
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 135.1
Bear Case
$62.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 121.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 85.3 to 115.6
Stabilization Target:
$110.59
(+35.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Carey S Roberts
SELL
35532 shares
2026-02-11
Debra A Cafaro
SELL
10322 shares
2026-02-02
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-01-29
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Advanced VTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VTR price and gamma walls.
