VTS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
VTS - Vitesse Energy, Inc..
$18.45
-0.06 (-0.32%)
βΌ
5d:
-2.17%
30d:
-4.45%
90d:
-3.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
π HOLD: VTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
π HOLD: VTS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.79
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.81
33.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: VTS is currently trading at $18.45, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.71 to $21.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.1) compared to its historical average (70.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 34.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 82.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.47, while resistance sits at $20.00.
Market Sentiment: VTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+27.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, VTS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.47, while resistance sits at $20.00.
Market Sentiment: VTS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+27.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$18.71 -
$21.39
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.4% below Wall St target ($23.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.71 -
$21.39
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.47
Resistance Level
$20.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.05
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+27.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
82.4%
Profit Margin
10.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-34.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 70.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-34.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.61
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$14.94
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.45
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20β71)
$47.55
(+158%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 170.6%)
$69.40
(+276%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 170.6%)
$62.27
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 170.6%)
$52.93
(+187%)
π
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.64
Bull Case
$18.12
(-4%)
Analyst growth -17.2%, PE expands to 34.2
Base Case
$16.47
(-13%)
Market implied -17.2%, PE stable at 31.1
Bear Case
$13.53
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
π‘
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.1 to 70.9
Stabilization Target:
$65.23
(+253.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+253.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:23 PM
π₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is VTS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Cree
SELL
1440 shares
2026-01-21
Robert W Gerrity
SELL
36785 shares
2026-01-21
Brian Cree
SELL
18000 shares
2026-01-20
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