VTSI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VTSI - VirTra, Inc. Common Stock

MISCELLANEOUS MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES
$4.69
-0.06 (-1.26%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VTSI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VTSI is currently trading at $4.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.42 to $4.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.8) is in line with its historical norms (32.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VTSI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.54, while resistance sits at $5.19.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (19th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.25 (+73.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $4.42 - $4.93
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 19th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.4%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 19th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 73.7% below Wall St target ($8.25)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with -28.5% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.8% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.42 - $4.93
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.47 (10.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.54
Resistance Level $5.19
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.76
Wall Street Target $8.25 (+73.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -28.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -85.7%
Profit Margin 0.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.4% premium
PE vs Historical 32.8 vs 32.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.77 (+0%)
2-Year Target $4.79 (+1%)
3-Year Target $4.81 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33→32) PE COMPRESSION $4.74 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.8, Growth: 45.0%) $14.48 (+205%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 45.0%) $9.86 (+108%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 45.0%) $8.38 (+76%)
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced VTSI Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VTSI price and gamma walls.

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